Poll of polls shows 15 parties could pick up a seat in the next parliament
Two weeks before the general election, the latest poll of polls hints that as many as 15 parties could be represented in the new parliament.
While support for prime minister Mark Rutte’s VVD remains far above the rest – with 23% to 25% of the vote – a number of new parties may win one or two, including pan European party Volt.
To be included in the poll of polls, a party must have featured in the list of two of three polls used in its compilation. JA21, the new party formed by Forum dissidents Joost Eerdmans and Annabel Nanninga, could also pick up two seats, the poll shows.
If the poll of poll forecast comes true, that will take the total number of parties in parliament to a record 15. In 1933, 1971 and 1972 there were 14 parties, but the number was later reduced through mergers.
Support for the far right PVV remains slightly down on its 2017 share of the vote, at between 11.6% and 13%, while the Christian Democrats are in third place with 10.6% to 12%.
The poll also indicates that at least four parties will be needed to form a new coalition government after the vote.
In all, 37 parties are taking part in the election.
Dozens of parties may appear on the ballot paper, but only those beating the electoral quota will end up with an MP. This is calculated by dividing the overall number of votes cast by 150. In the last election that was 62,828 – so that a party scoring more votes than that was certain of at least one seat in parliament.
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