Support for the ruling right-wing liberal VVD has dropped in the latest poll of polls but has gone up for the anti-Islam PVV and the Labour party.
The poll of polls, an amalgam of six separate opinion polls, puts support for the VVD at between 24 and 28 seats in the 150 seat parliament, if there were a general election tomorrow. That is equivalent to between 16% and 18.7% of the vote and down four seats on a month ago.
At the same time, support for the anti-immigration PVV led by Geert Wilders has risen by an average of two seats, putting the party on between 12.7% and 15.3% support. The Labour party, which was hammered at the last general election, has also gone up to between 12 and 14 seats. It won nine in March 2017.
The VVD’s problems have been partly caused by the discussion about scrapping the dividend tax, poll compiler Tom Louwerse says. In addition, the party has gone down considerably in the Maurice de Hond opinion poll and this may have distorted the results.
Nevertheless, with five months to go before the indirect vote for the senate, support for the ruling coalition is now well below the 76 needed for a majority in the lower house.
The senate is formed on the basis of the results in the provincial council elections which take place in March next year.
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