Tuesday 04 October 2022

Election: three polls say the VVD will win by very narrow margin

On the last day of campaigning before the September 12 general election, three opinion polls say the right-wing VVD will win by a narrow majority.

The Netherlands goes to the polls on Wednesday to elect a new 150-seat lower house of parliament following the collapse of the outgoing coalition VVD-Christian Democrat coalition in April.
Polls by TNS Nipo and EenVandaag say the VVD will win 35 seats and the Labour party (PvdA) will take 34. For both parties, this represents four more seats they they currently have.
Further reinforcing the Liberal party’s dominance, other research by Ipsos Synovate shows 44% of voters expect the VVD to win, while 27% say Labour will take most seats.
The Socialist Party is tipped to be third with around 21 seats, six more than it has at present but well down on the early stages of the campaign. Geert Wilders’ anti-immigration PVV will be in fourth place with around 17 seats, a loss of seven on its current total.
A Maurice de Hond poll on Tuesday evening puts both the VVD and PvdA on 36 seats. De Hond puts the SP in third place on 20 seats and PVV fourth with 18.
The number of floating voters has gone down, but one in five people still don’t know who to vote for, the De Hond poll showed.
The last debate of the campaign takes place on tonight from 21.40 to 23.10 hours on Nederland 1 and internet channel Politiek 24.
What the papers say
Manifesto summaries (in English)

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