Risk of serious water shortages as river levels fall

The Netherlands is heading for a serious water shortage, according to Harold van Waveren, chairman of the national committee for water distribution (LCW).

“It is only the beginning of July and the summer still has two months to go,” he told broadcaster NOS. “If this drought continues, it could become a serious drought.” He compared the summer of 2026 to one exactly 50 years ago.

“That is our reference year. I hope we don’t experience a summer like that again, but due to climate change, that chance is increasing.”

The risks of regional water shortages are rising as water levels in rivers decrease. Add to that a persistent drought, and an increasing demand for water, and a perfect shortage storm may be brewing.

The LCW already scaled up its water warnings to Level 1 (impending water shortage) in July, with level 2 (actual water shortage) now looking likely for this month. If the situation worsens to level 3, the shortage becomes a national crisis and the home affairs ministry takes over from the LCW.

“River levels are remarkably low for this time of year,” said Van Waveren. “We are seeing water levels that occur on average only once every 20 years. The precipitation deficit is also at a level seen approximately once every 20 years.”

The bright spot amidst the shortages? The IJsselmeer, which he said is deliberately kept extra high. “That is our rainy-day fund.”

Supply and demand

The demand for water is increasing while what’s available is decreasing.

“Due to the heat, more water evaporates and plants need more,” said van Waveren. “At the same time, the discharge of the Rhine and Meuse is also decreasing in Germany, Switzerland, Belgium and France. Water demand is therefore rising, while the supply is actually decreasing.”

While for now most Dutch people won’t feel the water pinch, van Waveren said it’s time to make choices. He urged people to use drinking water more sparingly and anticipates watering bans in more regions.

He also said agricultural companies and shipowners will be the first to feel the drought. “Ultimately, it is about distributing scarcity. You can never satisfy everyone.”