Credit ratings agency Moody’s on Wednesday raised its forecast for house prices in the Netherlands to an increase of up to 5%.

The agency pointed out that house prices already rose 2.6% in the first five months of 2015.

However, analysts are more cautious about the following years because of changes in mortgage lending rules.

The maximum mortgage is being lowered by 1% a year, until in 2018 no more than 100% of the price can be borrowed. This will put prices under pressure because fewer first-time buyers will enter the market, Moody’s said.